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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8584, 2024 04 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38615021

RESUMO

Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a major public health burden worldwide with increasing morbidity and mortality. The study evaluates the risk factors associated with mortality in SCD patients, between the years 2006 and 2020 at three hospitals in Oman. The analysis includes clinical manifestations, haematological, biochemical, and radiological parameters, use of antibiotics, and blood and exchange transfusions. Our cohort included 123 patients (82 males, 41 females), with a median age of 27 (Interquartile Range 21-35 years). SCD related complications included acute chest syndrome (ACS) in 52.8%, splenic sequestration in 21.1%, right upper quadrant syndrome in 19.5%, more than > 6 VOC/year in 17.9%, and stroke in 13.8%. At the terminal admission, patients had cough, reduced O2 saturation, crepitation and fever in 24.4%, 49.6%, 53.6% and 68.3% respectively. Abnormal chest X-ray and chest CT scan were seen in 57.7%, and 76.4% respectively. Laboratory parameters showed a significant drop in hemoglobin (Hb) and platelet counts from baseline, with a significant rise in WBC, LDH and CRP from baseline (p < 0.05, Wilcoxon Signed Ranks test). All patients received antibiotics, whereas, 95.9% and 93.5% received simple blood transfusions, and exchange transfusions respectively, and 66.6% required non-invasive ventilation. Among the causes of death, ACS is seen in 32 (26%), sepsis in 49 (40%), and miscellaneous in 42 (34%). Sudden death was seen in 32 (26%) of patients. Male gender, with low HbF, rapid drop in Hb and platelet, and increased in WBC, LDH, ferritin, and CRP, correlated significantly with mortality in this cohort.


Assuntos
Síndrome Torácica Aguda , Anemia Falciforme , Adulto , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Jovem , Causas de Morte , Causalidade , Fatores de Risco , Anemia Falciforme/complicações , Síndrome Torácica Aguda/etiologia , Antibacterianos
2.
Epidemiology ; 35(3): 320-328, 2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38630507

RESUMO

Regression calibration as developed by Rosner, Spiegelman, and Willett is used to adjust the bias in effect estimates due to measurement error in continuous exposures. The method involves two models: a measurement error model relating the mismeasured exposure to the true (or gold-standard) exposure and an outcome model relating the mismeasured exposure to the outcome. However, no comprehensive guidance exists for determining which covariates should be included in each model. In this article, we investigate the selection of the minimal and most efficient covariate adjustment sets under a causal inference framework. We show that to address the measurement error, researchers must adjust for, in both measurement error and outcome models, any common causes (1) of true exposure and the outcome and (2) of measurement error and the outcome. We also show that adjusting for so-called prognostic variables that are independent of true exposure and measurement error in the outcome model, may increase efficiency, while adjusting for any covariates that are associated only with true exposure generally results in efficiency loss in realistic settings. We apply the proposed covariate selection approach to the Health Professional Follow-up Study dataset to study the effect of fiber intake on cardiovascular disease. Finally, we extend the originally proposed estimators to a nonparametric setting where effect modification by covariates is allowed.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Calibragem , Seguimentos , Causalidade , Pessoal de Saúde
3.
Int J Mol Sci ; 25(7)2024 Apr 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38612809

RESUMO

Chorioamnionitis is a risk factor for necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Ureaplasma parvum (UP) is clinically the most isolated microorganism in chorioamnionitis, but its pathogenicity remains debated. Chorioamnionitis is associated with ileal barrier changes, but colonic barrier alterations, including those of the mucus barrier, remain under-investigated, despite their importance in NEC pathophysiology. Therefore, in this study, the hypothesis that antenatal UP exposure disturbs colonic mucus barrier integrity, thereby potentially contributing to NEC pathogenesis, was investigated. In an established ovine chorioamnionitis model, lambs were intra-amniotically exposed to UP or saline for 7 d from 122 to 129 d gestational age. Thereafter, colonic mucus layer thickness and functional integrity, underlying mechanisms, including endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress and redox status, and cellular morphology by transmission electron microscopy were studied. The clinical significance of the experimental findings was verified by examining colon samples from NEC patients and controls. UP-exposed lambs have a thicker but dysfunctional colonic mucus layer in which bacteria-sized beads reach the intestinal epithelium, indicating undesired bacterial contact with the epithelium. This is paralleled by disturbed goblet cell MUC2 folding, pro-apoptotic ER stress and signs of mitochondrial dysfunction in the colonic epithelium. Importantly, the colonic epithelium from human NEC patients showed comparable mitochondrial aberrations, indicating that NEC-associated intestinal barrier injury already occurs during chorioamnionitis. This study underlines the pathogenic potential of UP during pregnancy; it demonstrates that antenatal UP infection leads to severe colonic mucus barrier deficits, providing a mechanistic link between antenatal infections and postnatal NEC development.


Assuntos
Corioamnionite , Infecções por Ureaplasma , Gravidez , Ovinos , Animais , Humanos , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Infecções por Ureaplasma/complicações , Intestinos , Causalidade , Muco
4.
Nutrients ; 16(7)2024 Mar 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38613020

RESUMO

Crohn's disease (CD) is an inflammatory bowel disease. Previous research has explored the impact of diet on CD, as specific dietary components can influence gut microbiota and immune responses, contributing to damage in the gastrointestinal tract. The Crohn's Disease Exclusion Diet (CDED) is based on an exclusion diet; it is a recent dietary approach that is often used alongside partial enteral nutrition (PEN) and aims to induce disease remission by excluding certain dietary components. This study assesses the current evidence for the effectiveness of the CDED + PEN in achieving remission in both children and adults with active CD. Our systematic review followed PRISMA recommendations and was registered in PROSPERO with CRD number 42022335076. The searched databases were PubMed/MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and Web of Science. The included studies were analyzed using Rayyan software, and the risk of bias was assessed with Cochrane RevMan 5.0 software. The primary assessed outcome was clinical remission, evaluated with validated questionnaire scores such as PCDAI, CDAI, or HBI. All analyzed papers yielded promising results. Notably, the CDED + PEN demonstrated better tolerance than exclusive enteral nutrition (EEN), resulting in higher adherence rates. Therefore, the CDED + PEN appears to be a viable alternative for induction remission in active disease for both children and adults with CD.


Assuntos
Doença de Crohn , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais , Adulto , Criança , Humanos , Doença de Crohn/terapia , Causalidade , Bases de Dados Factuais
5.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1304888, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38605947

RESUMO

Background: Prior research has indicated a link between psoriasis and the susceptibility to breast cancer (BC); however, a definitive causal relationship remains elusive. This study sought to elucidate the causal connection and shared underlying mechanisms between psoriasis and BC through bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) and bioinformatic approaches. Methods: We employed a bidirectional MR approach to examine the potential causal connection between psoriasis and BC. Genetic data pertaining to psoriasis and BC were sourced from extensive published genome-wide association studies. The inverse -variance weighted or wald ratio served as the primary method for estimating causal effects. Sensitivity analysis of the MR results was applied with multiple methods. Leveraged datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus and the Cancer Genome Atlas repositories to identify common differentially expressed genes, shedding light on the shared mechanisms underlying these two conditions. Results: The MR analysis revealed that when considering psoriasis as an exposure factor, the incidences of BC (OR=1.027) and estrogen receptor negative (ER-) BC (OR=1.054) were higher than in the general population. When using Her2+ BC as an exposure factor, the risk of psoriasis was 0.822 times higher (OR=0.822) than in the general population. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the results were robust. Transcriptome analysis showed that CXCL13 and CCL20 were activated in both BC and psoriasis. Both diseases were also linked to neutrophil chemotaxis, the IL-17 pathway, and the chemokine pathway. Conclusion: The results suggest that psoriasis may increase the risk of BC, especially ER- BC, while reverse MR suggests a decreased risk of psoriasis in Her2+ BC. Transcriptome analysis revealed a shared mechanism between psoriasis and BC.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Psoríase , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias da Mama/genética , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Causalidade , Biologia Computacional , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Psoríase/genética
6.
Int J Epidemiol ; 53(3)2024 Apr 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38609324

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Congenital hearing loss (HL), one of the most common paediatric chronic conditions, significantly affects speech and language development. Its early diagnosis and medical intervention can be achieved via newborn hearing screening. However, data on the prevalence and aetiology of congenital HL in infants who fail newborn hearing screening are limited. METHODS: The sample population included 153 913 infants who underwent newborn hearing screening, and the prevalence of congenital HL, defined as moderate to profound bilateral HL (BHL) or unilateral HL (UHL) (≥40 dB HL), in one prefecture of Japan was measured to minimize the loss-to-follow-up rate, a common factor affecting the screening procedure. Comprehensive aetiological investigation, including physiology, imaging, genetic tests, and congenital cytomegalovirus screening, was performed on children diagnosed with congenital HL. RESULTS: The calculated prevalence of congenital HL was 1.62 per 1000 newborns (bilateral, 0.84; unilateral, 0.77). More than half of the cases with congenital bilateral or severe to profound UHL showed genetic aetiology or cochlear nerve deficiency (CND), respectively. Approximately 4% and 6% of the cases of congenital BHL and UHL were associated with congenital cytomegalovirus infection and auditory neuropathy spectrum disorder, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This is an epidemiological and comprehensive aetiological study of congenital HL, as determined via newborn hearing screening according to its severity and laterality, in a large-scale general population of a developed country. Our findings can serve as a reference for optimizing care and intervention options for children with HL and their families.


Assuntos
Perda Auditiva Central , Audição , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Humanos , Criança , Causalidade , Testes Genéticos , Japão/epidemiologia
7.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8555, 2024 04 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38609415

RESUMO

Many gregarious insect species use aggregation and alarm pheromones. The bed bug, Cimex lectularius L., emits an alarm pheromone (AP), a 70/30 blend of (E)-2-hexenal and (E)-2-octenal, when threatened. Bed bugs avoid temperatures above 43 °C, which are lethal to bugs and used commercially as spatial heat treatments to manage infestations. However, the interaction of bed bug AP in heat avoidance has not been investigated. The goal of this research was to: 1) determine if bed bugs emit AP as an alarm response to heat exposure, and 2) quantify the behavioral responses of conspecifics to AP emitted by heat-exposed bed bugs. Using a selected ion flow tube mass spectrometer, we found that bed bugs responded to lethal and sublethal heat exposure by emitting AP. The Harlan laboratory population emitted more pheromone than a laboratory adapted field population from Florida (McCall). Harlan females emitted the most AP, followed by Harlan males, McCall females and males. In separate behavioral experiments, we showed that conspecifics (i.e., recipients) reacted to AP released by heat exposed bed bugs (i.e., emitters) by frantically moving within 50 mm and 100 mm test arenas. The Harlan recipients reacted to AP in 100 mm areas, whereas the McCall strain did not, indicating a short area of effectiveness of the AP. Synthetic AP components tested in behavioral experiments caused identical effects as the natural AP blend released by heat-exposed bed bugs.


Assuntos
Aldeídos , Percevejos-de-Cama , Ectoparasitoses , Feminino , Masculino , Animais , Temperatura Alta , Causalidade , Feromônios
8.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 155, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38609914

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The timing of puberty may have an important impact on adolescent mental health. In particular, earlier age at menarche has been associated with elevated rates of depression in adolescents. Previous research suggests that this relationship may be causal, but replication and an investigation of whether this effect extends to other mental health domains is warranted. METHODS: In this Registered Report, we triangulated evidence from different causal inference methods using a new wave of data (N = 13,398) from the Norwegian Mother, Father, and Child Cohort Study. We combined multiple regression, one- and two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR), and negative control analyses (using pre-pubertal symptoms as outcomes) to assess the causal links between age at menarche and different domains of adolescent mental health. RESULTS: Our results supported the hypothesis that earlier age at menarche is associated with elevated depressive symptoms in early adolescence based on multiple regression (ß = - 0.11, 95% CI [- 0.12, - 0.09], pone-tailed < 0.01). One-sample MR analyses suggested that this relationship may be causal (ß = - 0.07, 95% CI [- 0.13, 0.00], pone-tailed = 0.03), but the effect was small, corresponding to just a 0.06 standard deviation increase in depressive symptoms with each earlier year of menarche. There was also some evidence of a causal relationship with depression diagnoses during adolescence based on one-sample MR (OR = 0.74, 95% CI [0.54, 1.01], pone-tailed = 0.03), corresponding to a 29% increase in the odds of receiving a depression diagnosis with each earlier year of menarche. Negative control and two-sample MR sensitivity analyses were broadly consistent with this pattern of results. Multivariable MR analyses accounting for the genetic overlap between age at menarche and childhood body size provided some evidence of confounding. Meanwhile, we found little consistent evidence of effects on other domains of mental health after accounting for co-occurring depression and other confounding. CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence that age at menarche affected diagnoses of adolescent depression, but not other domains of mental health. Our findings suggest that earlier age at menarche is linked to problems in specific domains rather than adolescent mental health in general.


Assuntos
Menarca , Saúde Mental , Criança , Feminino , Adolescente , Humanos , Estudos de Coortes , Causalidade , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana
9.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1027, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38609950

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Women's inability to recognize ovarian cancer (OC) causation myths to be incorrect may lead to behavioral changes that could distract them from actual risk factors and impact their treatment decision making. This study examined Palestinian women's recognition of OC mythical causes, and explored factors associated with good recognition. METHODS: A national cross-sectional study was conducted. Adult Palestinian women were recruited from hospitals, primary healthcare facilities, and public areas in 11 governorates. The Cancer Awareness Measure-Mythical Causes Scale was modified and utilized for data collection. Awareness level was determined based on the number of myths around OC causation recognized to be incorrect: poor (0-4), fair (5-9), and good (10-13). RESULTS: A total of 5618 participants agreed and completed the questionnaire out of 6095 approached (response rate = 92.1%), and 5411 questionnaires were included in the final analysis. The most recognized food-related myth was 'drinking from plastic bottles' (n = 1370, 25.3%) followed by 'eating burnt food' (n = 1298, 24.0%). The least recognized food-related myth was 'eating food containing additives' (n = 611, 11.3%). The most recognized food-unrelated myth was 'having a physical trauma' (n = 2899, 53.6%), whereas the least recognized was 'using mobile phones' (n = 1347, 24.9%). Only 273 participants (5.1%) had good awareness of OC causation myths as incorrect. Earning higher monthly incomes as well as visiting governmental healthcare facilities were associated with a decrease in the likelihood of exhibiting good awareness. CONCLUSION: The overall recognition of OC causation myths was low. Addressing mythical beliefs should be included in OC prevention strategies and public health interventions to improve women's understanding of OC risk factors versus mythical causes.


Assuntos
Árabes , Neoplasias Ovarianas , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Neoplasias Ovarianas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Ovarianas/etiologia , Causalidade , Fatores de Risco
10.
Scand J Med Sci Sports ; 34(4): e14614, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38610079

RESUMO

Long-track and short-track ice speed skating are integral to the Winter Olympics. The state of evidence-based injury prevention in these sports is unclear. Our goals were to summarize the current scientific knowledge, to determine the state of research, and to highlight future research areas for injury prevention in ice speed skating. We conducted a scoping review, searching all injury and injury prevention studies in competitive ice speed skaters. The six-stage Translating Research into Injury Prevention Practice (TRIPP) framework summarized the findings. The systematic search yielded 1109 citations. Nineteen studies were included, and additional searches yielded another 13 studies, but few had high-quality design. TRIPP stage 1 studies (n = 24) found competition injury rates from 2% to 18% of participants with various injury locations and types. Seasonal prevalence of physical complaints was up to 84% (for back pain) in long- and short-track. Ten studies covered information on TRIPP stage 2, with two small etiological studies linking injuries to functional strength deficits (short-track) and training load (long-track). Questionnaire studies identified various perceived risk factors for injuries but lacked further scientific evidence. Most TRIPP stage 3 studies (five out of eight) focused on developing protective measures, while two studies found short-track helmets performed poorly compared to helmets used in other sports. No study evaluated the efficacy, the intervention context, or the effectiveness (TRIPP stages 4-6) of the measures. Scientific knowledge on injury prevention in ice speed skating is limited. Future research should prioritize high-quality studies on injury epidemiology and etiology in the sports.


Assuntos
Patinação , Esportes , Humanos , Gelo , Causalidade , Fatores de Risco
11.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 103(15): e37753, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38608102

RESUMO

This study's goal is to evaluate if there is a causal connection between rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and age-related macular degeneration (AMD), despite past epidemiological studies suggesting an association between the 2 disorders. The impact of RA on AMD is still unknown. Mendelian randomization (MR) was utilized in this study to assess the two-sample causal relationship between RA and AMD. Summary data from GWAS for RA and AMD in individuals with all European ancestries were gathered using the IEU GWAS database. The GWAS summary statistics of RA (14,361 RA patients and 43,923 healthy controls) and AMD (14,034 AMD patients and 91,214 controls participated) were obtained from the IEU GWAS database. After identifying suitable instrumental variables in line with the 3 MR assumptions, we conducted MR using the Mendelian randomization-Egger (MR-Egger), weighted median, and inverse variance weighting techniques. The MR-Egger intercept and MR-Polyvalent Residuals and Outliers methods were used to investigate the effects of horizontal pleiotropy. The leave-one-out strategy was used to prevent bias caused by certain single nucleotide polymorphisms. Sensitivity analysis was used to detect the heterogeneity. Using 50 single nucleotide polymorphisms as instrumental variables, this study examined the relationship between RA and AMD and discovered that RA increased the risk of AMD (inverse variance weighting odds ratio [OR] = 1.056, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.02-1.09, P = 5.44E-04; weighted median OR = 1.085, 95% CI = 1.04-1.14, P = 4.05E-04; MR-Egger OR = 1.074, 95% CI = 1.01-1.14, P = 2.18E-2). The current investigation demonstrated a causal link between AMD and RA. RA increased the risk of AMD. It is advised that future research concentrate on the processes underlying the relationship between RA and AMD.


Assuntos
Artrite Reumatoide , Degeneração Macular , Humanos , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Artrite Reumatoide/complicações , Artrite Reumatoide/genética , Causalidade , Bases de Dados Factuais , Degeneração Macular/epidemiologia , Degeneração Macular/genética
12.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 103(15): e37736, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38608121

RESUMO

Observational research shows a link between celiac disease (CeD) and sarcoidosis, but the causal link between CeD and sarcoidosis is still unknown. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted to ascertain the causal connection between the 2 disorders. In our two-sample MR analysis, we identified independent genetic variants associated with CeD using publicly accessible GWAS data from people of European ancestry. Summary data for sarcoidosis were obtained from the FinnGen Consortium, the UK-Biobank, and a large GWAS dataset. To assess the association between CeD and sarcoidosis, our MR analysis used inverse variance weighted (IVW) as the primary method, incorporating the MR-Egger, weighted median (WM), and MR-PRESSO (outliers test) as a complementary method. In order to ensure that the findings were reliable, several sensitivity analyses were performed. Our study indicated that CeD had a significant causal relationship with sarcoidosis (IVW odds ratio (OR) = 1.13, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-1.20, P = 5.58E-05; WM OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.03-1.23, P = 1.03E-02; MR-Egger OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.96-1.19, P = 2.20E-01). Additionally, we obtain the same results in the duplicated datasets as well, which makes our results even more reliable. The results of this investigation did not reveal any evidence of horizontal pleiotropy or heterogeneity. Our MR analysis showed a causal effect between CeD and an elevated risk of sarcoidosis. Further study is still needed to confirm the findings and look into the processes underlying these relationships.


Assuntos
Doença Celíaca , Sarcoidose , Humanos , Doença Celíaca/complicações , Doença Celíaca/epidemiologia , Doença Celíaca/genética , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Sarcoidose/epidemiologia , Sarcoidose/genética , Causalidade , Razão de Chances
13.
Front Cell Infect Microbiol ; 14: 1308742, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38558852

RESUMO

Background: Growing evidence has shown that gut microbiome composition is associated with Biliary tract cancer (BTC), but the causality remains unknown. This study aimed to explore the causal relationship between gut microbiota and BTC, conduct an appraisal of the gut microbiome's utility in facilitating the early diagnosis of BTC. Methods: We acquired the summary data for Genome-wide Association Studies (GWAS) pertaining to BTC (418 cases and 159,201 controls) from the Biobank Japan (BBJ) database. Additionally, the GWAS summary data relevant to gut microbiota (N = 18,340) were sourced from the MiBioGen consortium. The primary methodology employed for the analysis consisted of Inverse Variance Weighting (IVW). Evaluations for sensitivity were carried out through the utilization of multiple statistical techniques, encompassing Cochrane's Q test, the MR-Egger intercept evaluation, the global test of MR-PRESSO, and a leave-one-out methodological analysis. Ultimately, a reverse Mendelian Randomization analysis was conducted to assess the potential for reciprocal causality. Results: The outcomes derived from IVW substantiated that the presence of Family Streptococcaceae (OR = 0.44, P = 0.034), Family Veillonellaceae (OR = 0.46, P = 0.018), and Genus Dorea (OR = 0.29, P = 0.041) exerted a protective influence against BTC. Conversely, Class Lentisphaeria (OR = 2.21, P = 0.017), Genus Lachnospiraceae FCS020 Group (OR = 2.30, P = 0.013), and Order Victivallales (OR = 2.21, P = 0.017) were associated with an adverse impact. To assess any reverse causal effect, we used BTC as the exposure and the gut microbiota as the outcome, and this analysis revealed associations between BTC and five different types of gut microbiota. The sensitivity analysis disclosed an absence of empirical indicators for either heterogeneity or pleiotropy. Conclusion: This investigation represents the inaugural identification of indicative data supporting either beneficial or detrimental causal relationships between gut microbiota and the risk of BTC, as determined through the utilization of MR methodologies. These outcomes could hold significance for the formulation of individualized therapeutic strategies aimed at BTC prevention and survival enhancement.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar , Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Humanos , Microbioma Gastrointestinal/genética , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar/genética , Causalidade
14.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd ; 1682024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Holandês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38601991

RESUMO

When a person dies in the Netherlands it is legally required to report the cause of death. In most cases however, there is uncertainty when classifying causes of death. Additional postmortem diagnostics such as a CT scan or autopsy do not always provide absolute certainty. Data on causes of death can be used to determine what are, on a population level, relevant health problems. One must be cautious to fully rely on these data for making policy or financing healthcare and research. Firstly, incorrectly classifying the cause of death can give a distorted view of the underlying causes. Secondly, relevant health problems, such as obesity, might be overlooked in the statistics when they are not clearly a cause of death.


Assuntos
Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X , Humanos , Causas de Morte , Incerteza , Autopsia , Causalidade
16.
Sci Prog ; 107(2): 368504241235505, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38567445

RESUMO

The avoidance of causality in the design, analysis and interpretation of non-experimental studies has often been criticised as an untenable scientific stance, because theories are based on causal relations (and not associations) and a rich set of methodological tools for causal analysis has been developed in recent decades. Psychology researchers (n = 106 with complete data) participated in an online study presenting a causal statement about the results of a fictitious paper on the potential effect of drinking clear water for years on the risk of dementia. Two randomised groups of participants were then asked to reflect on the conflict between the goal of approaching a causal answer and the prevailing norm of avoiding doing so. One of the two groups was also instructed to think about possible benefits of addressing causality. Both groups then responded to a list of 19 items about attitudes to causal questions in science. A control group did this without reflecting on conflict or benefits. Free-text assessments were also collected during reflection, giving some indication of how and why causality is avoided. We condense the exploratory findings of this study into five new hypotheses about the how and why, filtered through what can be explained by cognitive dissonance reduction theory. These concern the cost of addressing causality, the variety of ways in which dissonance can be reduced, the need for profound intervention through teaching and social aspects. Predictions are derived from the hypotheses for confirmation trials in future studies and recommendations for teaching causality. Open data are provided for researchers' own analyses.


Assuntos
Dissonância Cognitiva , Humanos , Causalidade
17.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0298963, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38568932

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is one of the most common functional bowel disorders and dysmetabolism plays an important role in the pathogenesis of disease. Nevertheless, there remains a lack of information regarding the causal relationship between circulating metabolites and IBS. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was conducted in order to evaluate the causal relationship between genetically proxied 486 blood metabolites and IBS. METHODS: A two-sample MR analysis was implemented to assess the causality of blood metabolites on IBS. The study utilized a genome-wide association study (GWAS) to examine 486 metabolites as the exposure variable while employing a GWAS study with 486,601 individuals of European descent as the outcome variable. The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method was used to estimate the causal relationship of metabolites on IBS, while several methods were performed to eliminate the pleiotropy and heterogeneity. Another GWAS data was used for replication and meta-analysis. In addition, reverse MR and linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) were employed for additional assessment. Multivariable MR analysis was conducted in order to evaluate the direct impact of metabolites on IBS. RESULTS: Three known and two unknown metabolites were identified as being associated with the development of IBS. Higher levels of butyryl carnitine (OR(95%CI):1.10(1.02-1.18),p = 0.009) and tetradecanedioate (OR(95%CI):1.13(1.04-1.23),p = 0.003)increased susceptibility of IBS and higher levels of stearate(18:0)(OR(95%CI):0.72(0.58-0.89),p = 0.003) decreased susceptibility of IBS. CONCLUSION: The metabolites implicated in the pathogenesis of IBS possess potential as biomarkers and hold promise for elucidating the underlying biological mechanisms of this condition.


Assuntos
Síndrome do Intestino Irritável , Humanos , Síndrome do Intestino Irritável/genética , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Carnitina , Causalidade
18.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1353034, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38562935

RESUMO

Objective: While observational studies link immune cells with post-stroke functional outcome, the underlying immune mechanisms are not well understood. Immune cell surface antigens are actively involved in the biological behavior of immune cells, investigating immune cell surface antigens could deepen our comprehension of their role and biological processes in stroke recovery. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the immunological basis of stroke outcome by exploring the causal relationship between immune cell surface antigens and functional outcome after ischemic stroke in a Mendelian randomization study. Methods: Genetic variants related to immune cell surface antigens and post-stroke functional outcome were selected for two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. 389 fluorescence intensities (MFIs) with surface antigens were included. Inverse variance weighted (IVW) modeling was used as the primary MR method to estimate the causal effect of exposure on the outcome, followed by several alternative methods and sensitivity analyses. Additional analysis of the association between immune cell surface antigens and risk of ischemic stroke for assessment of collider bias. Results: We found that suggestive associations between CD20 on switched memory B cell (OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.01-1.34, p = 0.036) and PDL-1 on monocyte (OR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.04-1.66, p = 0.022) and poor post-stroke functional outcome, whereas CD25 on CD39+ resting Treg (OR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.62-0.96, p = 0.017) was suggestively associated with good post-stroke functional outcome. Conclusion: The elevated CD20 on switched memory B cell, PDL-1 on monocyte, and CD25 on CD39+ resting Treg may be novel biomarkers and potential causal factors influencing post-stroke functional outcome.


Assuntos
AVC Isquêmico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , AVC Isquêmico/genética , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/genética , Antígenos de Superfície , Causalidade
19.
J Korean Med Sci ; 39(13): e125, 2024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38599599

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Korea has witnessed significant fluctuations in its suicide rates in recent decades, which may be related to modifications in its death registration system. This study aimed to explore the structural shifts in suicide trends, as well as accidental and ill-defined deaths in Korea, and to analyze the patterns of these changes. METHODS: We analyzed age-adjusted death rates for suicides, deaths due to transport accidents, falls, drowning, fire-related incidents, poisonings, other external causes, and ill-defined deaths in Korea from 1997 to 2021. We identified change-points using the 'breakpoints' function from the 'strucchange' package and conducted interrupted time series analyses to assess trends before and after these change-points. RESULTS: Korea's suicide rates had three change-points in February 2003, September 2008, and June 2012, characterized by stair-step changes, with level jumps at the 2003 and 2008 change-points and a sharp decline at the 2012 change-point. Notably, the 2003 and 2008 spikes roughly coincided with modifications to the death ascertainment process. The trend in suicide rates showed a downward slope within the 2003-2008 and 2008-2012 periods. Furthermore, ill-defined deaths and most accidental deaths decreased rapidly through several change-points in the early and mid-2000s. CONCLUSION: The marked fluctuations in Korea's suicide rate during the 2000s may be largely attributed to improvements in suicide classification, with potential implications beyond socio-economic factors. These findings suggest that the actual prevalence of suicides in Korea in the 2000s might have been considerably higher than officially reported.


Assuntos
Suicídio , Humanos , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Coreia (Geográfico) , Causalidade , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Causas de Morte
20.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8845, 2024 04 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38632254

RESUMO

Observational studies have found a potential bidirectional positive association between multiple sclerosis and psoriasis, but these studies are susceptible to confounding factors. We examined the directionality of causation using Mendelian randomization and estimated the genetic correlation using the linkage disequilibrium score. We performed Mendelian randomization analysis using large-scale genome-wide association studies datasets from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC, 115,803 individuals of European ancestry) and FinnGen (252,323 individuals of European ancestry). We selected several Mendelian randomization methods including causal analysis using summary effect (CAUSE), inverse variance-weighted (IVW), and pleiotropy-robust methods. According to CAUSE and IVW the genetic liability to MS reduces the risk of psoriasis (CAUSE odds ratio [OR] 0.93, p = 0.045; IVW OR 0.93, p = 2.51 × 10-20), and vice versa (CAUSE OR 0.72, p = 0.001; IVW OR 0.71, p = 4.80 × 10-26). Pleiotropy-robust methods show the same results, with all p-values < 0.05. The linkage disequilibrium score showed no genetic correlation between psoriasis and MS (rg = - 0.071, p = 0.2852). In summary, there is genetic evidence that MS reduces the risk of psoriasis, and vice versa.


Assuntos
Esclerose Múltipla , Psoríase , Humanos , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Causalidade
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